Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIB
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 2
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
OLI
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
ATM
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
SFE
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |