Libertad vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |