Libertad vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
24
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
2 - 3
CCP
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 2
OLI
32%
25%
44%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
JLM
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
JLM
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 4
SPT
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |