AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 1-0
Liberia vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
72%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LBR
2 - 2
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ZIM
3 - 0
LBR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NIG
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
ANG
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NAM
3 - 0
MOZ
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 0
NAM
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NAM
4 - 0
DJI
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
0 - 4
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |