Lebanon U23 vs Mongolia U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
25%
21%
54%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
1 - 3
SYR
29%
22%
49%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IRN
3 - 0
MON
87%
10%
3%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
KSA
6%
17%
78%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
4 - 2
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |