Nykøbing FC vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
12º
12º
32
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LFA
1 - 3
MID
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
IIF
2 - 1
LFA
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LFA
4 - 0
HEL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BFR
3 - 3
LFA
64%
19%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 0
LFA
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 1
BFR
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
1 - 3
FRE
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NAE
2 - 1
THI
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
HEL
3 - 0
NAE
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NAE
3 - 2
LFA
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |