Nykøbing FC vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THI
2 - 2
LFA
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 1
AAF
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
LFA
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
ABT
0 - 2
LFA
8%
14%
77%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LFA
0 - 0
MID
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 3
BIF
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 1
AGF
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |