Lewes vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
LEW
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LEW
2 - 2
THA
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
WHY
0 - 0
LEW
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LEW
2 - 0
BIS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 4
LEW
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
WHI
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HUN
0 - 1
WHI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 1
DAR
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
WHI
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 1
BOG
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |