Lewes vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
ENF
1 - 4
LEW
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
KIN
4 - 2
LEW
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 0
BOG
39%
25%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 3
LEW
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOW
1 - 3
LEW
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
WIN
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
6 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
HOR
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |