Lewes vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
LEW
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
LEW
80%
13%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 2
KIN
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
LEW
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
4 - 1
LEW
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VCD
0 - 0
LEI
20%
23%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
3 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |