Lewes vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 1
LEI
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
LEW
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
LEW
80%
13%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 2
KIN
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
LEW
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
3 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 3
LEA
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
FAR
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
HEN
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |