Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
EAS
1 - 2
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
LEW
5 - 4
RED
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
CAM
2 - 3
LEW
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WES
1 - 2
LEW
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEW
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
EAS
1 - 2
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
STA
0 - 0
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
EAS
2 - 2
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
WEL
0 - 3
EAS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
EAS
4 - 2
WEY
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |