Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Levski Sofia vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
B19
87%
9%
5%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
B19
1 - 0
LSO
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ETA
1 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 3
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
LSO
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
VEL
3 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 2
VEL
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOK
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 1
VEL
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
VEL
6 - 1
JEU
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |