Levadia vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
7º
2º
38
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
12%
22%
66%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
KUR
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
TAL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
HJP
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
TRA
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
TAL
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAI
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |