Lernayin vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
PYU
7 - 2
LER
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
5 - 0
LER
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
AND
2 - 2
LER
7%
13%
80%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ONO
4 - 2
LER
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
GAN
9 - 0
MIK
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
MIK
2 - 1
NIK
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
PYU
3 - 2
MIK
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
MIK
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MIK
1 - 1
SHI
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |