Lerchenfeld vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
4 - 2
LER
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LER
1 - 1
FCS
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THI
4 - 1
LER
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LER
2 - 0
BUM
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 1
LER
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 0
BER
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BER
3 - 3
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 2
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
THI
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BUM
1 - 3
BER
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |