Lerchenfeld vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
1 - 1
LER
22%
19%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LER
5 - 1
DOR
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LER
5 - 1
FCK
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MUT
0 - 3
LER
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LER
3 - 2
ALL
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCK
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUT
2 - 0
BAS
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
ALL
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 4
BAS
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
6 - 0
CON
68%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +2 |