Leonidas vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
WES
1 - 3
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
NIE
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DHC
0 - 2
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
LEO
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
4 - 4
KON
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEZ
3 - 1
PUR
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PUR
0 - 1
RKA
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PUR
0 - 0
ELI
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALP
0 - 1
PUR
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PUR
1 - 5
ADO
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |