Primera B Apertura Round 5

Leones vs Tigres FC analysis

Leones Tigres FC
68 ELO 58
-5.7% Tilt 29.1%
1601º General ELO ranking 2198º
30º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Leones
21.6%
Draw
10.2%
Tigres FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
Leones
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
10.2%
Win probability
Tigres FC
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leones
-16%
+3%
Tigres FC

Points and table prediction

Leones
Their league position
Tigres FC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
14º
13º
27
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético Huila
39
39
100%
Cúcuta Deportivo
32
32
100%
Llaneros
29
29
100%
Tigres FC
27
27
0%
Unión Magdalena
27
27
0%
Real Cartagena
26
26
100%
Orsomarso SC
25
25
100%
Deportes Quindío
22
22
100%
Boca Juniors de Cali
10º
22
22
100%
Internacional de Palmira
22
22
10º
100%
Real Cundinamarca
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Barranquilla
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Leones
13º
14
14
13º
0%
Bogotá
14º
14
14
14º
0%
Real Santander
15º
8
8
15º
100%
Atlético Fútbol Club
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leones
Tigres FC
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Leones
Tigres FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leones
Leones
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2024
COR
Internacional de Palmira
2 - 2
Leones
LEO
24%
24%
51%
69 64 5 0
16 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barranquilla
2 - 2
Leones
LEO
22%
23%
55%
69 61 8 0
12 Feb. 2024
LEO
Leones
2 - 0
Atlético Fútbol Club
AFC
59%
24%
17%
68 59 9 +1
03 Feb. 2024
REA
Real Santander
0 - 0
Leones
LEO
28%
24%
47%
68 64 4 0
12 Nov. 2023
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 1
Leones
LEO
29%
22%
49%
68 65 3 0

Matches

Tigres FC
Tigres FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2024
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 1
Orsomarso SC
ORS
41%
28%
31%
57 57 0 0
15 Feb. 2024
REA
Real Santander
0 - 3
Tigres FC
TFC
63%
23%
13%
56 63 7 +1
09 Feb. 2024
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 0
Deportes Quindío
QUI
24%
30%
46%
55 66 11 +1
03 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barranquilla
2 - 2
Tigres FC
TFC
61%
25%
14%
55 61 6 0
11 Oct. 2023
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
4 - 0
Tigres FC
TFC
67%
23%
10%
56 69 13 -1