Liga MX Sub 20 - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
León U20 vs Morelia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
GUA
52%
22%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PUE
3 - 1
LEO
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
LEO
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morelia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PUM
0 - 2
MOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
NEC
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAZ
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |