León vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 0
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 2
LOB
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 4
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
UAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
ALT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |