Copa MX Apertura . Jor. 5

León vs Monterrey analysis

León Monterrey
81 ELO 79
19.3% Tilt 12.7%
411º General ELO ranking 232º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57%
León
22%
Draw
20.9%
Monterrey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
León
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-10%
+17%
Monterrey

ELO progression

León
Monterrey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2015
JAG
Chiapas
6 - 2
León
LEO
33%
25%
42%
81 75 6 0
30 Aug. 2015
TOL
Toluca
1 - 3
León
LEO
53%
24%
24%
81 83 2 0
26 Aug. 2015
LEO
León
2 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
78%
15%
8%
81 64 17 0
23 Aug. 2015
LEO
León
1 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
66%
20%
14%
81 76 5 0
19 Aug. 2015
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
1 - 3
León
LEO
23%
23%
54%
81 66 15 0

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2015
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
52%
25%
23%
79 80 1 0
06 Sep. 2015
MON
Monterrey
1 - 0
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
71%
18%
11%
79 63 16 0
29 Aug. 2015
VER
Veracruz
2 - 1
Monterrey
MON
34%
27%
39%
79 75 4 0
26 Aug. 2015
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
81%
12%
7%
80 65 15 -1
23 Aug. 2015
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
44%
24%
32%
80 82 2 0
X