Lenzburg vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
25%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 1
LEN
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
DUL
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 6
LEN
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
6 - 0
JUV
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WOH
6 - 2
LEN
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
6 - 0
FCG
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HON
3 - 1
AAR
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
5 - 1
KRU
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OLT
0 - 1
AAR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
0 - 3
PAJ
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |