Lentigione vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 3
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
FOR
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIB
2 - 1
LEN
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
5 - 2
CLO
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 0
VIR
51%
21%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
CLO
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
MEZ
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIR
80%
15%
5%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | -3 |