Lentigione vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 4
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ACA
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
LEN
9%
16%
75%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
LEN
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
GHI
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRO
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 4
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |