Lens vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 2
LYO
20%
24%
57%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LMU
3 - 0
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MPL
3 - 4
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SHA
4 - 0
TFC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 0
PSG
37%
29%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 2
BRU
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |