Lens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CLE
2 - 2
LEN
29%
25%
45%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ANG
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
LEN
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 0
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LYO
2 - 1
LEN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSG
9%
16%
76%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 1
NAN
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 3
PSG
7%
15%
78%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |