Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
LEN
22%
28%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
LEN
4 - 0
MPL
64%
20%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 2
LEN
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
LEN
3 - 3
GIR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |