Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
RED
1 - 0
LEN
23%
25%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
REI
2 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
AJA
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CLE
0 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VER
2 - 4
LEN
2%
5%
94%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 2
PFC
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LPV
0 - 1
ASN
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 1
TRO
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAI
0 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |