Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 0
ANG
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1981 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
MET
2 - 2
NAN
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
STL
1 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
MET
0 - 0
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
MET
3 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
MON
2 - 1
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |