Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 2
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
21%
23%
57%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 2
LEN
18%
23%
58%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
TFC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
GUI
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |