Lens U19 vs Arras U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 1
LEN
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
4 - 1
QUE
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
AMI
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 4
PSG
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arras U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 4
LIL
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 1
ARR
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 4
SAI
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HAV
2 - 2
ARR
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 3
ORL
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |