Lens II vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
14º
4º
33
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
REI
3 - 2
LEN
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 0
IRI
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LEN
3 - 2
OCP
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
0 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 0
LEN
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIM
0 - 3
OCP
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DIE
3 - 1
VIM
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIM
2 - 1
DRA
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIM
2 - 1
RCC
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIM
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |