Lens II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 1
LEN
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LEN
0 - 1
BOB
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
LEN
23%
23%
53%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 0
REI
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FLE
3 - 2
LEN
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
SPI
0 - 2
SED
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPI
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 0
STG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPI
30%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
0 - 1
SPI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |