Lens II vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 1
LEN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LEN
0 - 2
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
COM
2 - 3
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
DUN
4 - 1
STR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ESW
1 - 4
DUN
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 3
ROY
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FCM
2 - 2
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 0
MET
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |