Lens II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 1
DUN
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 3
LEN
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 4
ROY
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
POI
1 - 1
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
COM
3 - 2
POI
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COM
2 - 2
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
FCA
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |