Lens II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DIE
0 - 1
LEN
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 1
LEN
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SML
1 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 4
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SML
2 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
VCH
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 3
CAL
64%
21%
14%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 3
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |