Lemense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 1
LEM
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
3 - 1
LEM
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAT
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
OSV
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |