Liga de Honra - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-1
Leixões vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
LEX
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LEX
0 - 2
UNM
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
LEX
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 3
SPC
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
POR
3 - 3
LEX
64%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
LEX
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
PRA
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
FAT
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 2
PRA
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |