Leixões vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
LEX
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 0
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
VSC
2 - 2
LEX
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 1
SCP
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARO
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 1
VSC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 0
ARO
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 3
ARO
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |