Leixões vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 3
LEX
49%
28%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LEX
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 0
LEX
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
70%
21%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
LEX
2 - 2
OLH
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPB
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
20%
24%
55%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 0
NAV
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 1
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 3
ACA
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |