Leiston vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
WHI
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEI
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LEI
1 - 2
LEA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
LEI
0 - 1
HEN
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEW
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
LEW
1 - 0
BOG
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 1
LEW
31%
24%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BIL
2 - 2
LEW
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LEW
0 - 0
TON
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |