Leiro vs Melias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 2
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
BMI
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
LEI
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COV
4 - 1
LEI
46%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARR
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 2
COV
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
MEL
56%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 0
COL
60%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 3
MEL
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
PON
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |