Leioa vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BFC
2 - 0
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LEI
2 - 0
RET
68%
21%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OIA
0 - 0
LEI
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEI
0 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 2
LEI
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GER
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ELG
1 - 1
GER
16%
25%
59%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GER
0 - 0
AMU
69%
19%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
52%
27%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |