Leioa vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GER
1 - 2
LEI
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LEI
3 - 2
BFC
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RET
0 - 2
LEI
14%
23%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LEI
2 - 2
OIA
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 2
LEI
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CDU
2 - 1
POR
17%
22%
62%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ELG
3 - 1
CDU
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CDU
0 - 1
AMU
51%
24%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 3
CDU
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CDU
1 - 0
ARE
37%
29%
35%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |