Leicester Sub 23 vs Derby County Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 2
MUN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
TOT
3 - 1
LEI
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
LEI
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
MCI
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
BHA
5 - 1
DER
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
LEI
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
5 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |