Leicester vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
LEI
3 - 0
CHL
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
CRY
1 - 0
LEI
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
LEI
1 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
LEI
2 - 1
OLD
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
NOT
0 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
LIV
5 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
NOT
4 - 0
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
WBA
2 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1982 |
WHU
3 - 0
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |