Lehnerz vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lehnerz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEH
2 - 0
EIN
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
LEH
34%
23%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LEH
0 - 1
SVW
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LEH
0 - 0
ROT
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 1
LEH
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
LEH
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EIN
1 - 2
VEL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
LOH
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
BAY
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 3
SVW
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |