Lège-Cap-Ferret vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
13º
11º
37
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
84% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LEG
2 - 1
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 0
LEG
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
2 - 2
BLA
26%
28%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CRF
2 - 1
LEG
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
0 - 0
BAY
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
2 - 0
TOU
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 0
BLA
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ONE
1 - 0
TOU
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
2 - 1
CRF
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 0
TOU
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |