Lège-Cap-Ferret vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
10º
7º
51
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPS
1 - 2
LEG
15%
20%
66%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEG
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
LES
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 2
GDB
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
CRF
17%
25%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
GDB
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
BLA
41%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 0
SPS
78%
14%
7%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 3
BLA
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
USR
1 - 1
BLA
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |